64 | Chapter 12 than for women (Exp(B)=1.678). The odds of starting a competitive club sport rather than starting a sport on an informal basis dropped with age, by 9% every ten years (Exp(B)=0.991), and fell per decade (reflecting the period effect), by 29.5% (Exp(B)=0.971). Finally, compared to natives, these odds were 25.2% smaller for non-natives of non-western origin (Exp(B)=0.748). Table 2.3 Multinomial logistic event history analysis of starting a competitive club sport.a CONTROL VARIABLES Man Age Period Migration background Native Dutch origin (ref.) Non-native of non-western origin Non-native of western origin Number of sports Sport participation in youth Educational level MAJOR LIFE EVENTSb Starting a paid job Moving out to live on one’s own Starting to cohabit or getting married Birth of one’s first child Children leaving the parental home Retirement Constant Chi-square model Degrees of freedom N person-year combinations Explanatory power (Nagelkerke R2) 0.518*** -0.009* -0.030*** -0.290* -0.168 -0.045+ 0.290** 0.074 0.086 0.216+ -0.370* 0.062 -0.259 0.596+ -0.151*** 1502.24 56 70631 0.042 b 0.096 0.005 0.004 0.176 0.185 0.034 0.102 0.062 0.150 0.148 0.166 0.198 0.346 0.396 0.241 s.e. 1.678 0.991 0.971 0.748 0.846 0.956 1.337 1.077 1.090 1.241 0.691 1.064 0.772 1.815 Exp(B) Source: Sporters Monitor, 2010 (Nresp. = 2707) ***p<0.001, **p<0.01, *p<.05, +p<0.10 (one-tailed) aVersus starting a sport on an informal basis (alone and with friends or family). The complete results of the multinomial logistic event history analysis of starting a sport in a competitive club setting versus starting a sport in a recreational club setting, in some other formal organisational form, on an informal basis and not starting a sport at all, are provided in Table A2 in the Appendix. bResults of a sensitivity analysis in which the six major life events separately were similar (see Table A3 in the Appendix).
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